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Live · Friday, July 17, 2026 · Vol. III actuary.info Original analysis · Curated wire
The Daily Actuary
Reserving · Pricing · Regulation · Reinsurance · AI · Capital — every weekday morning
Featured Analysis · Career & Exams

CAS PCPA Is Now Mandatory: What the 2026 Cohort Faces

Since January 1, 2026, the CAS PCPA has been mandatory for every ACAS candidate, pairing a $300 Pearson VUE exam with a $700 quarterly project where one failed attempt can delay credentialing three to six months.

Today's Original Analysis

7 pieces in today's edition
Reinsurance

Florida Citizens' 88% ILS Tower Sets a Cedant Template Few Insurers Can Replicate

Florida Citizens enters the 2026 hurricane season with 88% of its $2.82B reinsurance tower funded by cat bonds and ILS capital, up from 87% in 2025, and the structure is harder to copy than the headline share suggests.

Filed Jul 17
Technology & AI

Why Standard Model Risk Management Cannot Validate LLMs in P&C Claims

Standard model risk frameworks assume deterministic outputs, but LLMs in P&C claims are stochastic by design, and NAIC's July 22 actuarial panel confronts a validation gap most governance write-ups still ignore.

Filed Jul 17
Regulation & Standards

When LLMs Draft the Reserve Opinion: The Actuarial Liability Gap

LLMs now draft reserve opinions and rate-filing narratives, but ASOP No. 41 requires a named actuary as author, and E&O carriers are adding AI exclusions. The liability gap ahead of NAIC's July 22 actuarial panel.

Filed Jul 17
Technology & AI

ML Jury Award Models Are Rewriting Commercial Auto's Reserve Tail

Nuclear verdicts hit $31.3B in 2024, up 116%, as commercial auto posts a 14th year above 100 combined. ML models using venue and litigation-funding data now supplement IBNR triangles to price the jury tail early.

Filed Jul 17
Life & Annuities

SOA-LIMRA Payout Annuity Study Resets SPIA Mortality Pricing

The SOA-LIMRA 2020-2024 payout annuity mortality study, spanning 3.1 million contract-years, gives pricing actuaries the first A/E benchmark across the full COVID mortality arc as SPIA sales rise 22% year over year.

Filed Jul 17
Health

Stop-Loss at 12.7%: The Structural Break Behind the Premium

Segal's Q3 2026 dataset puts stop-loss premiums up 12.7%, but seven-figure claims grew 25% a year for four straight years. We model why 2022-2023 attachment points are now exposed and what belongs in the 2027 baseline.

Filed Jul 17
Reinsurance

Cat Bond Secondary Market Spreads Defy Hurricane Season in Q2 2026

Cat bond secondary spreads fell to 5.71% in late June 2026 and kept compressing into July, breaking the seasonal widening pattern as record demand absorbed a record $11.3B Q2 issuance quarter.

Filed Jul 16
Florida Citizens enters the 2026 hurricane season with 88% of its $2.82B reinsurance tower funded by cat bonds and ILS capital, up from 87% in 2025, and the structure is harder to copy than the headline share suggests. Sarah, in today's edition

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